Ted Robinson’s Matchpoints

Forty-eight hours later and I’m still in awe over Sunday. A 10-hour plane flight, with time to absorb nearly a dozen London newspapers along with nearly a hundred messages, many from those who would be classified as “casual” fans, has lent to the aura of this match as “the best ever.”

Now I hear today that SI will feature the match on its cover. When Pete Sampras won his record 13th Slam and 7th Wimbledon, we came home to see a muscled and tattooed Jason Giambi on the SI cover. Sampras was appalled. And now we know that tennis fell victim to the BALCO scam.

This was pure.

This was cojones grande, the only way to describe Rafa doing what he could not 12 months earlier, find a way to win the third set from Federer.

This was a champion falling in “brutal gladiatorial combat…but tumbling with valour” in the stirring words of London Daily Mail writer Paul Hayward. And how fine is that description.

In 24 hours back home, there is a talk-show buzz and coffee shop chat about this match that I have not witnessed in many years.

These two made tennis relevant. Now can it sustain what these two have created?

More from the Wimbledon cache:

* The disappointment over early exits by Andy Roddick and James Blake certainly went away. Stories always emerge; be it Andy Murray’s next step towards the top echelon, Marat Safin (up 35 places to 40), Rainer Schuettler (up 55 to 39) and Arnaud Clement (up 73 to 72) all made themselves relevant again, the two-week siege and double wins for the Sisters, Britain’s obsession over 14-year-old junior champ Laura Robson and her marvelously refreshing attitude over new fame, and the continuing presence of so many former champions at the AELTC.

* The roof can’t arrive fast enough. Sunday’s final ended about 10 minutes before a nightmare encounter would have occurred. The Club, understandably, wanted play to continue until 9:30-9:45 p.m.. They, like everyone, wanted a result. The money and disruption for Monday play, perhaps as little as two games, would have been wasteful. Yet, there was a point at which the players would have said, understandably, that a Championship, particularly from a match so superior, couldn’t be decided in darkness. Thankfully, we were spared the moment. A match for the ages had a proper ending in the dusk of Centre Court.

And traditionalists need not weep. Centre Court will still be open. Remember that grass needs light. The roof will only close once it rains, a 12-minute process. Thus, the courts will be still be covered for a short period. The benefit of the roof will be to guarantee play after a short stoppage and thus never again the drama of Sunday night.

* Major consensus in London was that the Williams Sisters success was due in part to the weakness of the WTA Tour. This is a debate for another time but the perception must be countered by the Tour.

* Start perhaps with Aggie Radwanska, the most impressive of the game’s young women. She has a Martina Hingis-like presence on the court that adds conviction to less-than-punishing shots. She simply doesn’t beat herself. Her lack of serve may hinder the hopes of a Wimbledon title, but the women’s game needs a player like Aggie to rise.

After all, this week’s rankings still feature Patty Schnyder, a career fourth-round player with one Slam semi to her credit, at 13 in the world. Lindsay Davenport won one round at Wimbledon and rose to 23. Tough to explain that to the sporting public.

* While we’re on that point, Serena passed Venus on the computer (reason 5,742 why I hate the concept). But my colleague, SI’s Jon Wertheim, poses a terrific question: has Venus’ career eclipsed Serena’s?

* Now we move to the hard courts and wonder whether Donald Young, John Isner (both of whom fell and are close to being out of the top 100) and Sam Querrey can make a move. Can Bethanie Mattek continue her momentum from the spring/summer and make a Robby Ginepri-like charge through the summer?

And can Rafa play well in the States, particularly the Open? Will his knees, the ones that Uncle Toni admits are so tender that the family wants Rafa to play LESS on the hard stuff, allow him to show New York his greatness?

And does Roger, whose performance at Wimbledon showed he is certainly not done, feel a little pressure to win Slams sooner rather than later?

The stat came in the third set of Rafa Nadal’s first-round win over Andreas Beck. After nine service games, Nadal had lost a total of 8 points.

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It reminded me of last year’s Wimbledon final – through four-and-a-half sets, Nadal’s serve had been broken once. By the best player on the planet. On grass. With one ace.

There is the essence of Nadal. He doesn’t blast serves. He doesn’t win a free set with aces as Roger Federer did in last year’s classic five-setter.

Nadal just holds serve.

How? I keep recalling Johnny Mac’s statement last July that Nadal was the modern-day Bjorn Borg, the player who won matches through physical play — the player that John remembered as being “impossible to get a ball past.”

And there is an apt description of Nadal, even on grass where he hugs the baseline.

* * *

Our wait for an American to make a 2008 push continues. Sam Querrey, John Isner and Donald Young (to fellow American Jesse Levine) all lost in the first round. Young has lost first round in both Paris and Wimbledon — same with Querrey, although he drew Federer in Paris.

Isner had a tough draw at Wimby with Ernests Gulbis, but as some point one of the young Americans needs to win some tough matches.

Like Wayne Odesnik taking out Guillermo Canas in Paris or Bobby Reynolds winning first round at Wimbledon.

* * *

Well done by Lindsey Davenport in overcoming a significant leg injury that required sophisticated taping. Davenport was pushed to the third set by an anonymous European but managed to call on her classic ball striking to survive. Her third round, against Elena Dementieva, could be tough.

* * *

Great Britain’s hope is that Andy Murray can reach his first slam quarter where he would likely meet Nadal. Murray comes across in interviews as calmer than the player derailed by “court rage” in the past. Can he handle, as Tim Henman did so well, the heat of a country’s intense focus?

The grass is pristine on the first day of Wimbledon. Pure green for one day a year, before the relentless baseline game that marks this era of tennis creates brown dust at both ends of Centre Court.

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I thought of that as I watched Roger Federer easily move through his first-round match Monday. Seven years ago Federer’s moment of arrival was a Centre Court upset of Pete Sampras, a match that featured a heavy dose of serve and volley play from Roger.

As is well known, Federer claims he has no need to use that style now, so easily has he won five straight Wimbledons. Will Rafa Nadal or perhaps Novak Djokovic force him to change?

Federer gave several interviews Monday and stood firm against any line of questioning that suggested a hangover from the French final. The moment Fed walked off the court after his beating by Rafa, Roger said he bade the clay farewell for 11 months. And in that farewell went any impact of that match.

I tend to believe Federer. If there is a carryover, Federer will feel its full impact next spring. If the two meet again on clay, Roger will know the feeling of being a significant underdog with the need to prove himself in a way unknown for a 12-time Slam champion.

But Wimbledon is Roger’s until beaten. Rafa came close last July, but all that earned him was a second runner-up plate.

Disappointing day for Sam Querrey. The big serve would seem to bode well for his chances at Wimbledon but the American fell in four sets to Juan Carlos Ferrero. Querrey says he is uncomfortable on grass and feels veterans have a huge advantage playing on the surface used only one month a year.

Ivo Karlovic lost in the first round for the fourth consecutive year, stunning for the 6-foot-10 (208 centimeters) Croat with the huge serve.

So, I wonder – if Querrey and Karlovic are early KOs, has the impact of grass lessened? Does the grass court game play differently than a generation ago?

Robby Ginepri has played the role of Lazarus before. In 2005, he arrived in Indianapolis with a rank around 100, in danger of missing the cut for the US Open, without an endorsement deal and with a new coach, Francisco Montana.

That hot week in Indiana, wearing clothes gifted him by a friend representing a fledgling company (UnderArmour), Ginepri won the tournament.

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And it started a run that saw Robby win 4 straight 5-set matches at the Open, reach the semis and finally ascend to 15 in the world.

He couldn’t sustain that pace, and the next 3 years have again been a struggle.

Falling to 171 in the world while young guns like Donald Young and Sam Querrey make their way could have pushed Ginepri to the end, but he has continued to fight.

His best move: connecting with Jose Higueras, whose credentials are unchallenged.

Now Ginepri is the last American in Paris, reaching the fourth round, not done by an American man since Agassi 5 years ago. And the shocking part has been Robby’s comments, that he never knew how to construct a point on clay, never understood how to play with his head until his alliance with Higueras and Diego Ayala.

Two questions: Why does it take players so long to understand the importance of strategy on clay? And does anyone doubt Roger Federer’s chances with Higueras in his corner?
 
Ginepri will play Fernando Gonzalez Monday, as the Chilean was one of Saturday’s 5-set heroes. Both Gonzo and Ivan Ljubicic rallied from 0-2 deficits to win, Nikolay Davydenko the shocking victim of Ljubicic’s comeback.

Inspired effort from Julien Benneteau who played 5 sets Friday and came back the next day to knock out a rested Robin Soderling. 

Could anyone have imagined the following representation in the men’s 16: France 5, Spain 4?

The women are loaded with Russians. In fact, 4 will play for one semi spot. Maria Sharapova is favored as she continues to fight as she displayed in an 81-minute first set against Karin Knapp.  But watch for Vera Zvonareva, talented but fragile, who appears healthy and has the game to move forward on clay.
 
Sunday belongs to the men on the big stage, with Rafa Nadal and Novak Djokovic playing back-to-back as they move towards a marquee semi.
 

An action-packed week for tennis: Roger Federer finally picked a coach and the selection of Jose Higueras signaled Federer’s intent on returning to form on clay (and the results were immediate, as Fed’s first title of 2008 in Estoril came in his first week of working with Higueras), the Davis Cup fallout continued with the French press hammering Richard Gasquet for ducking Andy Roddick last weekend, James Blake went to Houston and reached the final on clay albeit against a lesser field (but I see the Monte Carlo draw and Sam Querrey is the lone American) and, thanks to SI’s peerless Jon Wertheim, I learn that Alexandra Stevenson, 27 and ranked 258, qualified at Charleston and won a match before falling to Jelena Jankovic.

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But the real story of the week was in Charleston. And her name is Serena Williams.

She won the event, her second consecutive. She beat Maria Sharapova decisively which, after smacking Justine Henin in Miami, gives her wins over the top 2 women (computer be damned.)

Serena is fitter than any time since her reign atop the game ended in 2004. She is displaying the toughness that characterized her great years. Dropping a set to Vera Zvonareva in the Charleston final didn’t deter her, just as in the Miami final against Svetlana Kuznetsova or the Charleston match with Sharapova.

That match was a significant statement. Serena’s world changed when Sharapova hit her off Wimbledon Centre Court in the 2004 final. Now Serena has won the last 4 matches against Sharapova and hasn’t lost to her since 2004. Serena’s serve was emphatic as she won 16 of 18 points on her serve in the decisive third set in Charleston.

Serena is now back to 6 in the world. She heads to Europe as a threat to win again and women’s tennis needs this. The Slams will be much more fun with Serena in the mix.

Interesting to hear mixed reviews of Andy Roddick’s win in San Jose. Some feedback focused on strong play from Roddick, a sound strong backhand that he was willing to rip up the line, his potent serve (particularly in the final against Radek Stepanek) and a growing confidence as he rolled through the week (albeit against no top ranked players until the final.)

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Then there were the comments that ranged from concern to contempt for Roddick’s attitude. He derailed Japanese teen Kei Nishikori, conqueror of James Blake in the Delray final, and unloaded a verbal barrage in the process. Nishikori first claimed not to hear Roddick, then admitted an unwillingness to repeat the words publicly.

The esteemed Jon Wertheim, who shares with me a tendency to like Roddick, framed the San Jose incident in the light of recent transgressions, notably Andy’s explosion at umpire Emmanuel Joseph during his loss to Phillip Kohlschreiber in Australia, and wondered if there has been a sea change in Roddick’s demeanor. Fair question — is he being influenced by Jimmy Connors?

Here’s what I know: from an early age, Roddick understood his position as the heir to the Sampras-Agassi throne. As a sports fan, he was aware of tennis’ position in the American sports arena and went to pains to sell/promote the sport much more than himself. His triumphant media tour of New York after winning the 2003 US Open was masterful. It signaled that American tennis was set for the next 6-8 years.

Of course, we couldn’t have predicted Roger Federer. Andy could never have imagined not just Fed’s 12 Slams but also the 15-1 head-to-head dominance of Roger.

And for four years, imagine how many times Roddick has heard that line of questioning….Why is Roger so good? What can you do to stop him? Can you beat him? Is Roger the best ever? Think Roddick may tire of that?

Something else I know: Roddick has been great with young American players on tour. At Wimbledon, he has insisted on using the upper-tier of the men’s locker room, the area to which lesser players and juniors are relegated. There Andy hands with the group that has largely been his peers while the other top-ranked pros dress on the lower level. Roddick is also a thorough American sports fan, thus the concept of “talking” to an opponent may not strike him as foreign as it does many who love tennis.

Story I never forget: 2000 Davis Cup in Los Angeles. Johnny Mac, as captain, chooses 17-year-old Roddick as practice player. What Andy learned was that the role called for him to be “fresh meat,” in this case for Andre Agassi. The great Agassi punished Roddick on the court in their head-to-head practice match. And then Andre piled on a verbal assault. The cumulative effect was so fierce as to force Johnny Mac to halt the proceedings.

I have only talked briefly to Andy about that time, but I am fairly sure he has never forgotten. So when he “talks trash” to Nishikori, Andy may think it’s nothing compared to what he took from Andre. And to the treatment of umpires, well could Connors be advising Roddick that his flare-ups are nothing compared to the classics of Jimmy’s era?

The world of super models, high-stakes poker and private jets in which Roddick lives is another issue, one raised in a fair manner by Jon Wertheim. And I agree with Jon’s conclusion. If Roddick has veered in some ways, the Andy I know will return.

Lost in the news over Monica Seles’ retirement last week was the WTA announcement of an initiative to enhance player safety. Most importantly, criminal background checks will be conducted on player entourage team members and others seeking credentialed access.  It’s a terrific, if overdue, step after the litany of abusive parents (Jim Pierce, Damir Dokic and the horrid 2005 story of Evgenia Linetskaya) and coaches (Joe Giuliano.)

Rankings updates: Roddick, who took a wild card into Memphis (d. Gilles Muller (32) in first round), is still 6, a distance behind Nikolay Davydenko (5) and safely ahead of Richard Gasquet (7).

Biggest rebound is David Nalbandian, coming back from 25 last fall to his present 8.

Ivo Karlovic turns 29 this week and celebrates with a career-best rank of 21.

US rankings: Sam Querrey 63, Vince Spadea 70, John Isner 93, Mardy Fish 94, Bobby Reynolds 100, Donald Young 102 (d. Sam Warburg in 1R Memphis) and Robby Ginepri back to 108 after beating Blake to make the semis in San Jose.

James Blake has a chance to beat Roger Federer in their Wednesday (Aussie time TBD) quarter.

Now I’m not picking Blake to win, merely saying, for the first time, that James could win.

And Janko Tipsarevic provided the blueprint. The Serb crushed the ball from the baseline, stepping into the court, piercing Federer’s defense and playing with relentless aggression.

It was so effective that Federer uttered words rarely heard, “He (Tipsarevic) utterly dominated from the baseline.”

Blake has the ability to do the same. James swings away and crushes forehands off the ground. Playing with aggression is not a problem; it’s playing with intelligent aggression that sometimes plagues Blake.

That’s where the chance for Blake will likely reside — in his head. Can James embrace the moment, as he did against Federer in the 2006 U.S. Open, rather than meekly slink away as he has in a surprising number of Slam matches?

The court is playing slow and that would seem to hurt Blake. Yet, the wise Patrick McEnroe has pointed out that the slower courts take away offense from Federer.

So, if Roger can’t hit winners as he normally would, can Blake take advantage? James must return serve and not be blitzed by a flurry of aces (Fed has served a ton and Blake was the victim of Sam Querrey’s 10 consecutive aces in Indianapolis last summer.)

And Blake must play without fear. Look at Federer’s record — there are more theories on how to beat the champ than actual cases of success. All I know is that someone like Blake can’t win playing safe. Be bold, swing hard, play with gusto and hope that Federer’s game slips just a bit. It was incredibly close to working for Janko Tipsarevic so it’s not a bad plan for Blake.

Meanwhile, Rafa Nadal plays Jarkko Nieminen (Mon night US time) and assuming the Spaniard wins this battle of lefties, Rafa has a nice path to the final. Yes, Mikhail Youzhny did beat Nadal at the ‘06 Open but Rafa’s position as #2 keeps him safely from the Blake-Djokovic-Federer battles. I’ll be shocked if Nadal isn’t in his first Aussie final.  

Here’s why the men’s game is so terrific: Marat Safin, Aussie champion just 3 years ago, and Marcos Baghdatis, finalist 2 years ago, met in the second round. Yes, I know we just had the Sharapova-Davenport collision but that is an absolute rarity for the women.

Safin, now a noted mountain climber, played like the former #1 for the third and fourth sets. Unfortunately for the Russian, he spotted Baghdatis 2 sets and was no match for the Cypriot in the fifth. Yet, Safin still flashed moments of utter brilliance, such as  serving at 0-3, 0-30 in the fifth and he unleashed a series of jaw-dropping shots to hold.

Baghdatis celebrated his strong 2006 (F Aussie, SF Wimby) off the court and paid a price last year. Maturity appears to have arrived and, if so, he should be back in the Top 10.

One note in the Baghdatis matches is the highly audible crowd support from the significant Cypriot/Greek community in Australia. Sadly, in a match involving a young Greek, Konstantinos Economidis, the Aussies resorted to pepper spray for “crowd control.” Seems rash from a distance, and particularly strange in such a sports-loving and sportsmanlike country.

My favorite tennis setting was the 2001 Wimbledon final, where Aussie and Croat expats jammed Centre Court to cheer Patrick Rafter and Goran Ivanisovic in their Monday fight. It had the flair of a World Cup match in tennis’ most austere setting.

Global growth in tennis means cultural clashes. Proper behavior, often regarded in societies as utter silence, at tennis matches may carry different meanings in different venues.

So, here’s a little third round men’s section: Baghdatis against Lleyton Hewitt (CORRECTION: Hewitt worked late last year with Darren Cahill, but Cahill has made a commitment to broadcasting and Hewitt prepped with Tony Roche) and Sam Querrey against Novak Djokovic.

Querrey had a moment of growth in his second round win over Dmitry Tursunov. Serving at 2-0 in the first set tiebreak, Querrey tossed in a double. Unnerved, he lost the next 4 points. At 2-5, Querrey engaged Tursunov in a long baseline battle, unyielding in his groundstrokes, until Tursunov snapped with an errant forehand. Momentum shifted on that one point and Querrey proceeded to win 5 straight points and the breaker. Tursunov rebounded to win the second but Querrey ripped off the next two to earn his meeting with Djokovic.
 
More props to Vince Spadea, a five-set winner over German Denis Gremelmeyer. Spadea, who proclaimed his longing for Starbucks, earns a longer stay in Australia (he lost 2R last year) and the ranking points that will keep him in tournaments for another year.

And James Blake (straight sets over Michael Russell) and Andy Roddick (meets Phillip Kohlschreiber Thursday night US time) move on in impressive fashion.

Yet another confounding example of the computer: if Rafael Nadal wins the Aussie and Roger Federer loses before the semis, Rafa supplants Fed as #1. Now I know the Slam count would be even at 2-2 in such a case, but Fed’s superiority on hard courts and over the duration of the year would leave at least this observer skeptical of such a ranking shift.

Notes from Day 2:

A draw analysis for Australia:

MEN
My first search: Where is Andy Roddick? And, much to Andy’s joy I am sure, he is opposite Roger Federer. Yes, he may draw Rafael Nadal in the quarters, but Roddick would take that every time to avoid Federer.

Second search: Where are the young Americans? John Isner drew a crazy first-round match with Fabrice Santoro, which if he survives, would get him another match with Federer. Donald Young is in Roddick’s section with an opener against German Michael Berrer before a potential showdown with Roddick. Sam Querrey draws Olivier Rochus first and Dmitry Tursunov in the second round. Obviously, Querrey has the best chance of the three to reach the first weekend.

Third search: Where is James Blake? In a dicey section, especially given James’ slide in the second half of 2007. If James can survive Nicolas Massu, Seb Grosjean and Ivan Ljubicic, he could collide with Fernando Gonzalez in the fourth round before Federer in the quarters.

Heavyweights: Novak Djokovic draws the semi with Federer. In his path are David Nalbandian (a real threat until he tweaked his back this week), Lleyton Hewitt (poised for a rebound year under Darren Cahill’s tutelage) and David Ferrer. We find out quickly if Djokovic has recovered from his late-season fade.

Best draws: those in the bottom half, namely Roddick, Nadal, Richard Gasquet and Andy Murray. Nadal has a smooth path to another match with his mentor, Carlos Moya, in the fourth round. Even on a slower hard surface, Roddick should cruise into the quarters. And I think Murray, playing wonderfully since his split with Brad Gilbert, is my dark horse pick to reach his first Slam final.

WOMEN
My first search: Where is Serena? Thankfully, she avoided another quarter with Justine Henin. Maria Sharapova drew that short straw. Serena lingers in a section loaded with qualifiers, facing a potential run against Nicole Vaidisova (round of 16), Jelena Jankovic (QF) and Henin (SF).

Second search: Where is Lindsay Davenport? How about this welcome back gift for the former champ? She’s headed for a second round match with Sharapova. That winner should ease through to the quarters.

Third search: Where is Venus? Bottom half with a potential run of Marion Bartoli (round of 16), Ana Ivanovic (QF) and Svetlana Kuznetsova/Anna Chakvetadze (SF).

There aren’t many young Americans: Vania King draws Daniela Hantuchova in the first round, Ashley Harkleroad draws Virginie Razzano, and USTA wild card Madison Brengle draws Tatiana Perebiynis with Vera Zvonareva in the second round.

And Henin? Absolutely no resistance, assuming her health, until Maria Sharapova in the quarters. And every woman in the bottom half breathes easy as they watch Henin, Serena, Jankovic, Sharapova and Davenport smack each other around with only one to survive to the final.

Just as at the U.S. Open, the women need a more balanced draw.